The streaks stats are grouped into 5 sections are detailed
below. Analysing streaks can often give an insight into how a team has been
performing recently, and how a team performs over time. Steaks stats can be
found in team pages and head to head analysis pages. If you follow any
progressive football draw systems, this type of information, when combined with
the tournament draw ratio (found in the tournament stats page) can be an
invaluable resource.
Longest run of games with outcome shows the longest run of outcomes for
a football team so far in the season. For example the Longest Run Of Games With
Over 2.5 Goals shows the maximum consecutive games the team has had a higher
than average score-line. In the 2010/2011 Spanish
Tercera Division,
Marino
Luanco had a streak of 18 consecutive home wins.
Games since an outcome shows how many soccer games have been played
since a particular outcome. This can be useful when trying to predict outcomes
that may go against a team's recent form, and therefore have better odds. For
example, in a fixture where an in form team that has had a run of games without
a draw is playing a team that draws games regularly, it maybe worth considering
the draw bet. Its worth using
betfair
for draw bets as you can get often get more competitive odds than traditional
book makers.
Average games without an outcome. The average number of games a team
goes without a particular outcome; win, draw, loss, over, under. Consider a team
that has an average games without a win figure of 2.8, but has just played 3
away games in a row picking up 2 draws and a loss. If the next fixture for the
team is a home game then the home win could be a good bet and may have better
odds than expected due to the run of poorer form. In this case it's also worth
referring to the success figures to see if the team is substantially stronger
when playing at home.
Standard deviation from average without event. This is a measure of the
deviation of the outcomes from the average, for example, if a team regularly
wins football games (its average games without a win is less than 2) and the
standard deviation is also low, lets say 0.5, then the team very rarely has
prolonged periods without a win. A good example to illustrate this is
Manchester
United in the 2008/2009 Premier league season. Over the season the average games
without a win was 1.25, the standard deviation was 0.43; the longest
Manchester
United went without a win was 2 games over the whole season. They won 73.7% of
their games. Based on this example, It might make a sensible bet to back
Manchester United to win if they have just gone 2 games without a win,
Victor
Chandler regularly boast the best odds on Premiership fixtures.
Longest streaks without outcome. As mentioned above, this is a measure
of the longest run of results a team has had without a particular event, in
Manchester United's case above, they went a maximum of 2 games without a win over
the entire season. Again, these stats are for wins, losses, draws, over 2.5
goals, under 2.5 goals and are measured for all games, home games only and away
games only.
You should always look at the number of football games played and
decide whether there are enough in the sample to provide an accurate
representation of the team, if its early in the season it may be worth looking
at the previous season and to see how the team performed over a longer period,
especially if the team is competing in the same league or tournament as before.